Interestingly, the average speed on simple RT tasks is often not as predictive as other aspects of the RT distribution. In their new JEP:G paper on the topic, Schmiedek et al. describe the "worst performance rule" in which an individual's slowest reaction times are predictive of their short-term memory capacity, general intelligence, and processing speed (how quickly they can perform simple judgments).
Why might this be? Extraordinarily slow RTs may be a simple reflection of lapses in attention or goal maintenance. Thus the relative number of those lapses (or the time taken to recover from them) may be driving the relationship with complex task performance (where sustained attention and goal maintenance are clearly important).
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